Writing Note Tips

Under certain conditions, collective opinion is likely to provide more accurate predictions than individual opinion. Ask a large enough group of independent people to predict an event and you’ll get a range of responses. Take an average of their estimates and individual errors of judgement at both ends of the spectrum of opinion will cancel themselves out.

Betting exchange markets are a rich source of valuable information for those in the business of prediction as they are a collection of opinions represented by money. The most crucial time to observe price changes is during the last few minutes leading up to a race – that’s when the majority of money is laid down & the one time when you can clearly see what the collective opinion of the race outcome is.

. Many punters spend hours studying form and if they find a horse who’s odds do not reflect it’s true chances they will bet big to capture the value.

. Many punters at the race track closely examine the behaviour of the horses before the start of each race. If a horse is playing up in the stalls it’s price will invariably drift on the betting exchanges. Sometimes a horse acts strangely due to anxiety or excitement about the race (sweating profusely, rearing up and kicking their hind legs etc.) – this means they are burning up energy needed for the race and are therefore less likely to perform well.

. This can play a massive role in affecting a horse’s chances of winning a race. Some horses perform much better on certain surfaces than others. For example, if ‘the going’ is good it suits a horse that has speed. If the ground is less than good (good to soft, soft and heavy) then a horse with stamina will perform better.

. If a jockey is injured his races are allocated to other jockeys. Often there is a significant difference between the capabilities of the replacement compared to the original. An experienced jockey will be expected to perform better than a jockey who hasn’t had as many races or good performances and the odds will lengthen or shorten accordingly.

. Trainers/owners etc. may be confident that their horse will perform well. If this information gets out (which it invariably does), then  punters are likely to act on it.

As you can see there are many factors that can be used to determine the probable winners & losers of a race. Information moves horse racing prices on the betting exchanges – significantly more money being put on a horse to win or lose is often an indication that something has happened to improve/reduce the chances of it winning.

JustStartHere.com provides is a service that allows users to easily identify horse racing market movers and hopefully go on to develop successful betting systems based on market trends and patterns that they’ve spotted. It records betting exchange prices and displays them clearly and concisely:

It eliminates the need for you to study form, examine horses, check weather conditions and jockey changes and acquire inside information. Basically it allows you to benefit from all the hard work that other punters have already put in. Simply follow the money - it often gives a good indication of the race outcome. Subscription is just £6 per month – please click on the button below to find out more: